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Service news and monetary news, analysis, opinion and data covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Economic development across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to accelerate in 2026, with the region predicted to exceed its 2025 performance despite muted oil earnings and ongoing global uncertainties. According to a brand-new Oxford Economics research instruction, GCC GDP development is anticipated to increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, showing a resistant nonenergy sector, strong consumer characteristics, and gradually improving oil output.

But the newest projections suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to restore momentum, buoyed by enhancing domestic need and a broadly steady global background. The report highlights GCC consumers as a significant chauffeur of the area's financial performance heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing real non reusable incomes are anticipated to sustain a rise in consumer costs throughout the Gulf.

Credit development is likewise anticipated to stay raised as access to financial services widens. With GCC main banks expected to follow expected US Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the area's dollar pegs, obtaining costs are likely to decline, offering homes and services further motivation to spend and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the area's resilience, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook provides a combined photo.

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This might weigh on firsthalf development, especially for economies more reliant on oil extraction. Nevertheless, Oxford Economics predicts a rebound later in 2026, with Opec+ members anticipated to resume raising production as inventories tighten up and international need enhances. Qatar, on the other hand, stands apart as a local outperformer, with substantial growths in gas production and exports expected to lift its general economic performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget prepares for a 6 per cent cut in capital investment as the kingdom aims to narrow its financial deficit by 2 percentage points. The report notes that these cuts may not materialise completely if countercyclical costs steps are activated to support growth. By contrast, more diversified economies such as the UAE and Qatar are expected to continue advancing their advancement agendas.

Regardless of shortterm threats tied to oil costs and international need, the GCC's 2026 financial outlook is specified by strength in fundamentals: durable customers, robust nonenergy sectors, improving oil characteristics, and tactical financial preparation. With these factors lining up, the region is preparing for one of its most balanced periods of growth in current years anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP development.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council local economies are expected to remain resistant in 2026, driven by strong domestic need and a broadly stable global economy, according to an analysis. In its newest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the real gross domestic product of the GCC region is anticipated to broaden by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the projected 4 percent this year.

US trade policy under President Donald Trump has had no notable effect on local development, and non-energy sectors have actually sustained their robust momentum," stated Oxford Economics. It included: "Meanwhile, oil production has gradually increased, offering an increase to the region's economies. We expect GCC development will increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center said that economic growth in the area is set to accelerate to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by broadening non-oil sectors.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of total GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the area's ongoing development toward diversity. According to Oxford Economics, GCC customers will be standout entertainers in 2026 and are expected to surpass their global peers.

In December, the IMF further stated that headline inflation is expected to stay below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, near 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and a little above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit development is expected to remain elevated in the GCC region throughout 2026, as access to financial services is expected to grow and lending is forecasted to be supported by further cuts in interest rates."Owing to their currency pegs to the US dollar, GCC main banks are anticipated to follow the US Federal Reserve by alleviating monetary policy further, which in turn will lower debt servicing costs and improve disposable earnings and need," said the report.