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To reverse a years of deteriorating overall element performance, regional labour market policy is moving from easy job production to managing active workforce transitions. Federal governments and employers are scaling short, modular training programs and micro-credentials in data analytics and digital operations to equip employees for emerging functions. Workplace-based learning and apprenticeship-style pathways are becoming more common as firms integrate AI tools into day-to-day workflows.
With oil prices anticipated to average $55-60 per barrel in 2026, regional federal governments are intensifying their concentrate on expenditure discipline and personal capital mobilisation. Fiscal policy is pivoting toward the monetisation of state-owned assets in logistics, energies, and desalination to reroute funds towards higher-impact investments. While loaning through sukuk and sustainability-linked bonds is anticipated to increase to fund tactical deficits, the focus remains on strengthening non-oil earnings structures.
PwC Middle East financial policy and strategy partner Jing Teow said: "Having currently mobilised capital and policy at scale, GCC governments are now focused on delivery. In 2026, the top priority is enhancing economic durability through more secure trade and financial investment relationships, reliable AI release, managed labor force transitions and disciplined fiscal policy in a more challenging and fragmented worldwide environment.".
Saudi Arabia and UAE are poised to lead the Gulf area's economic growth in 2026, supported by strong private-sector performance, durable domestic demand and restored financial investment momentum, according to the latest ICAEW Economic Insight Q4 2025 report, produced by Oxford Economics. The GCC is expected to exceed most international regions peers next year, with local GDP projection to grow by 4.4%. Throughout the GCC, non-energy activity is predicted to expand by 4.1% in 2026, driven by strong labour markets, enhancing credit conditions and rising financial investment in technology and AI-related infrastructure.
Although oil incomes will be under pressure in the first half of 2026, production is anticipated to increase again in the 2nd half of 2026, supporting the region's medium-term outlook, it specified. Saudi Arabia will remain a significant factor to GCC momentum, with GDP projection to grow 4.3% in 2026.
Development will be supported by commercial expansion and policy reforms, consisting of alleviated foreign ownership guidelines that intend to stimulate more financial investment. The fiscal deficit is predicted to expand to 5.6% of GDP next year in the middle of softer oil prices, while the current five-year rent freeze in Riyadh aims to reduce inflationary pressures, though it might constrain future real estate supply.
Strong domestic fundamentalsThe UAE is likewise placed for another strong year of efficiency, with GDP forecast to rise 5.6% in 2026 as non-oil sectors continue to broaden. Tourist, trade and financial services stay crucial development drivers, supported by population development and continual domestic demand. Dubai's economy grew 4.4% in the very first half of 2025, reflecting broad-based non-oil strength.
Oil production is expected to select up once again in the 2nd half of 2026, complementing ongoing financial investment in facilities, technology and global trade partnerships. Hanadi Khalife, the Head of Middle East, ICAEW, said: "This quarter's outlook enhances how far the GCC has can be found in building diverse, resilient and globally competitive economies.
Scott Livermore, ICAEW Economic Consultant, and Chief Economist and Managing Director, Oxford Economics Middle East, stated: "Saudi Arabia and the UAE are getting in 2026 with strong structures. Saudi non-oil activity is getting rate, supported by robust need and rising investment, even as financial pressures increase.""The UAE continues to benefit from solid domestic basics, a sharp uplift in government spending and sustained diversity efforts.
What identifies 2026 from preceding years is not just the acceleration of technological change, though that acceleration is real, however rather an essential shift in how business develop of their GCCs' purpose. The is expected to grow to 4 hundred thirteen billion dollars by 2040, but this growth masks a more extensive transformation.
Rather, they ask whether these centers drive innovation, own profit-and-loss obligation, and contribute to competitive distinction. In 2026, the most effective GCCs will act like internal startups, nimble, cross-functional, insight-driven, and deeply lined up with international organization results. This shift from execution to ownership represents possibly the single most considerable tactical recalibration in the GCC design's advancement.
Today, we're convening more than 3000 meetings in between investors and 119 Gulf-listed companies with a combined worth of $2.4 trillion at the HSBC GCC Exchanges Conference 2026, in London. We're uniting financiers, business, exchanges, and policymakers to discuss what is altering in the region, and what follows, consisting of the growth and continuous development of the Gulf's capital markets, and the area's growing function in international networks of capital and trade.
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