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Instead of marking a cyclical rebound, 2026 is progressively deemed a consolidation year, in which diversification-led development ends up being more deeply embedded in the area's financial model, minimizing dependence on hydrocarbons and increasing durability to external shocks. Projections from major organizations broadly converge on a stronger GCC development profile in 2026 than in 2025, supported by resilient domestic demand, continued non-oil growth, and (to differing degrees) a firmer hydrocarbon contribution.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

3.2 percent development in 2025, accelerating to 4.5 percent in 2026. Sees momentum improving, with GCC output growth projected to rise from 1.7 percent in 2024 to 3.3 percent on average in 2025, showing a shift towards more favorable total conditions.

The IMF's World Economic Outlook (October 2025) projects global growth alleviating to 3.1 percent in 2026, with sophisticated economies around 1.5 percent and emerging market and developing economies just above 4 percent. On that comparison, a 4.44.5 percent GCC expansion would place the area materially ahead of the world average and slightly above (or broadly in line with) the emerging-market aggregate, reinforcing the GCC's status as a reasonably high-growth pocketprovided that regional risk conditions stay contained and reform momentum holds.

Information from the GCC Statistical Center show that non-oil sectors currently represent more than 73 percent of total GDP, a share that has actually continued to rise as federal governments expand financial investment in services, infrastructure, and technology. According to Oxford Economics, non-energy activity across the GCC is predicted to grow by around 4.1 percent in 2026, supported by strong labor markets, enhancing credit conditions, and rising financial investment in innovation and AI-related infrastructure.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

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Public-sector investment and reform remain main to sustaining this trend. Policy measures targeted at bring in foreign direct investment, reducing foreign ownership guidelines, broadening capital markets, and supporting private-sector involvement continue to underpin non-oil expansion and minimize the region's exposure to oil price volatility. While hydrocarbons no longer control the growth outlook, oil earnings are expected to play a supportive role in 2026.

Oxford Economics expects Brent crude costs to fall listed below USD 60 per barrel in early 2026, restricting the near-term contribution of oil extraction to GDP. Oil supply is anticipated to rise once again in the 2nd half of the year, with a complete loosening up of remaining production caps most likely by mid-2027.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+

Macroeconomic conditions throughout the GCC remain broadly helpful of growth. Inflation is anticipated to remain low, with the IMF forecasting typical inflation of 2 percent across the region in 2026. Steady costs are helping protect real family earnings and underpin consumer costs, which Oxford Economics anticipates to grow by approximately 3.5 percent over 20262027.