Middle East Economic Outlook for Strategic Realities thumbnail

Middle East Economic Outlook for Strategic Realities

Published en
4 min read


Israel responded with alarm to both the U.S. decision to lift sanctions on Syria and President Trump's conference with Ahmed al-Sharaa. Prime Minister Netanyahu reportedly asked President Trump not to lift Syria sanctions in advance of Trump's trip to the region. Moreover, since the fall of the Assad program in December 2024, Israel has been cautious of the former jihadist now in control in Damascus.

Methods for Optimising GCC Strategy in 2026

It has likewise released troops in southern Syria, inhabiting an increasing location beyond the demilitarized zone separating the 2 nations. Going forward, Israel will stay wary of the Sharaa government and will likely continue to apply military pressure on Syria, including a broadened profession of southern Syria and periodic air strikes.

Israel's openness to the Trump administration's efforts to broker a nonaggression pact in between Israel and Syria remains an open concern. Given that the fall of Assad in December 2024, Saudi Arabia has lobbied hard for the United States to lift Syria sanctions, citing them as a crucial barrier to the nation's restoration.

For MBS, the U.S. choice stood as a crucial success emerging from Trump's trip. Moving forward, Saudi Arabia will likely motivate the United States to continue along its course toward normalization with Syria. It may promote the repeal of the Caesar sanctions, which need to be undertaken by Congress. Riyadh might likewise press the United States to check Israel, needs to it continue with aggressive military action in Syria.

Methods for Optimising GCC Strategy in 2026

Middle East Business Outlook and Growth Realities

Despite expanding domestic and worldwide criticism of Israel's approach, the prime minister has actually not fluctuated in his expanding profession of Gaza in the lack of any U.S. pressure. Undoubtedly, the prime minister appears to bask in U.S. support, without any tip of a shift in policy. Moving forward, Netanyahu can be anticipated to continue along the same trajectory in Gaza, specifically given that a remarkable shift in U.S.

On the contrary, as the international outcry against Israel's actions in Gaza grows and with an increasing variety of U.S. allies transferring to state a Palestinian state, Israel is most likely to entrench its position further, boosted by the prospect of ongoing U.S. assistance. Undoubtedly, the Trump administration revealed its decision to reject visas to the Palestinian Authority leadership ahead of the UN General Assembly, relatively in response to installing require declaring a Palestinian state.

Trump's proposal and reiterated its refusal to normalize relations with Israel in the absence of significant development towards the production of a Palestinian state. The kingdom has also strongly criticized Israel for the absence of adequate aid flowing into Gaza.

ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+ANSR July GCC PRs 50DR+


Its leading function in pressing for a two-state solution at the 80th UN General Assembly stands as its most prominent effort in this regard. The kingdom will likely continue its behind-the-scenes lobbying of the United States to push Israel to relent on these needs, holding out on any development towards normalization with Israel in the absence of movement on these issues.

Middle East Business Outlook and Strategic Realities

Its engagement in the Middle East is shaping the shapes of the emerging local orderwhether by default or design. Particularly, its choices on Iran, Syria, and Gaza all discuss core difficulties in the region and hold the prospective to move each in a positive instructions. Yet, peril and deepening conflict stand on the other side of each opportunity.

As worldwide trade patterns realign, a new financial investment passage is taking shape, linking capital from the Gulf to Latin America. Sovereign wealth funds, conglomerates, and family offices from the Gulf Cooperation Council ("") are investing billions throughout Latin America's energy, agriculture, fintech, and infrastructure sectors. Trade between Mexico and GCC states increased more than 33% in between 2021 and 2022, while non-oil trade with the UAE has nearly doubled over the past decade.

3 Organization sentiment shows this momentum64% of Latin American executives plan to expand engagement with the Gulf, particularly in farming, renewable resource, and digital services. 4 Highlighting this momentum, Saudi Arabia recently opened its very first Chamber of Commerce office in Miami, additional signaling the growing links between Gulf capital and the Americas.