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The Strategic Benefits of Advanced Market Intelligence

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Company news and financial news, analysis, viewpoint and data covering the 6 Gulf Corporation Council members Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia and the UAE

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Economic development across the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) is set to speed up in 2026, with the area predicted to outperform its 2025 efficiency regardless of muted oil revenues and continuous global unpredictabilities. According to a brand-new Oxford Economics research study instruction, GCC GDP development is anticipated to increase to 4.4 percent in 2026, up from 4 per cent in 2025, showing a resilient nonenergy sector, strong customer dynamics, and gradually enhancing oil output.

The most current forecasts suggest that Gulf economies are now wellpositioned to restore momentum, buoyed by enhancing domestic demand and a broadly stable worldwide backdrop. The report highlights GCC consumers as a major motorist of the area's financial efficiency heading into next year. Low inflation, robust labour markets, and growing genuine non reusable earnings are anticipated to fuel a surge in customer spending across the Gulf.

Credit growth is also anticipated to stay elevated as access to monetary services widens. With GCC reserve banks expected to follow anticipated United States Federal Reserve rate cuts due to the region's dollar pegs, borrowing expenses are most likely to decrease, offering homes and services further incentive to invest and invest. While the nonoil sector continues to anchor the region's strength, the GCC's hydrocarbon outlook presents a mixed photo.

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This could weigh on firsthalf development, especially for economies more depending on oil extraction. Oxford Economics forecasts a rebound later on in 2026, with Opec+ members expected to resume raising production as inventories tighten and international demand improves. Qatar, on the other hand, stands out as a local outperformer, with considerable growths in gas production and exports anticipated to lift its overall economic performance.

Saudi Arabia's 2026 budget plan prepares for a 6 per cent cut in capital expenditure as the kingdom aims to narrow its fiscal deficit by two percentage points. However, the report keeps in mind that these cuts may not materialise fully if countercyclical spending measures are activated to support development. By contrast, more varied economies such as the UAE and Qatar are anticipated to continue advancing their advancement programs.

Regardless of shortterm dangers tied to oil rates and global demand, the GCC's 2026 financial outlook is defined by strength in principles: resilient consumers, robust nonenergy sectors, improving oil characteristics, and tactical fiscal preparation. With these elements lining up, the region is getting ready for one of its most balanced periods of expansion recently anchored by a clear upward trajectory in GDP growth.

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RIYADH: Gulf Cooperation Council regional economies are expected to remain resilient in 2026, driven by strong domestic demand and a broadly stable international economy, according to an analysis. In its newest report, Oxford Economics highlighted that the real gross domestic product of the GCC area is anticipated to expand by 4.4 percent in 2026, up from the forecasted 4 percent this year.

US trade policy under President Donald Trump has had no noteworthy influence on local growth, and non-energy sectors have sustained their robust momentum," stated Oxford Economics. It included: "Meanwhile, oil production has actually slowly increased, providing a boost to the region's economies. We anticipate GCC growth will rise to 4.4 percent in 2026, from 4 percent this year."In November, the GCC Statistical Center stated that economic development in the region is set to accelerate to 4.3 percent by 2027, driven by expanding non-oil sectors.

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Non-oil activities accounted for 73.2 percent of total GDP, up from 70.6 percent at the end of 2024, highlighting the region's continued development towards diversification. According to Oxford Economics, GCC consumers will be standout performers in 2026 and are expected to surpass their international peers.

In December, the IMF even more said that heading inflation is anticipated to stay listed below 2 percent in Bahrain, Oman, and Qatar, close to 2 percent in the Kingdom and the UAE, and slightly above 2 percent in Kuwait in 20252026. According to Oxford Economics, credit growth is anticipated to stay raised in the GCC area during 2026, as access to financial services is expected to grow and loaning is predicted to be supported by additional cuts in interest rates."Owing to their currency pegs to the United States dollar, GCC reserve banks are expected to follow the US Federal Reserve by reducing financial policy even more, which in turn will lower financial obligation servicing costs and boost disposable income and need," stated the report.

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